I was rather surprised to see a feature article on the Yahoo.com
landing page entitled, “Why the Dow Is Still Rising After Yesterday’s
High.” Instead of cheering the Dow’s
accomplishment as mainstream media sources are wont to do, the article by John
Maxfield urged investors to tread cautiously and to not “get too excited.” My how things have changed since 2007!
Another article appeared on Yahoo’s financial site with the
headline: “With Dow Industrials at Record
Highs, When Will Gravity Take Hold?” So
here we have another example of observers waiting for the inevitable pullback
instead of focusing on the all-time high.
It’s another clear instance of the seismic shift in investor psychology
since the credit crisis. Investors have
been psychologically conditioned to mistrust any rally and to expect it to be
followed by a sell-off.
Bullish enthusiasm is at low ebb, which is not at all consistent with a major market top. Bottom line: the uptrend continues.
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